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LoL: L Guide Gaming vs Arneb (BO5) - LJL Playoffs

KalshiPolymarket Closes Jul 29, 2026
MarketMaster fair value19¢ vs live 17¢ on Polymarket
▲ +2.2% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
80¢ last
BidAsk
YES77¢81¢
NO19¢23¢
$5,050 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
83¢ last
BidAsk
YES80¢84¢
NO16¢20¢
$5,431 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If L Guide Gaming wins the LJL 2026: Arneb vs. L Guide Gaming League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jul 29, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal match between L Guide Gaming and Arneb in the LJL Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 29 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "L Guide Gaming" if L Guide Gaming win the match against Arneb. This market will resolve to "Arneb" if Arneb win the match against L Guide Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last80¢
Polymarket last83¢
Model fair value81¢
Model confidence38%
Venues2
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