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LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

KalshiPolymarket Closes Jul 30, 2026
MarketMaster fair value38¢ vs live 36¢ on Kalshi
▲ +2.3% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
39¢ last
BidAsk
YES34¢38¢
NO62¢66¢
$18 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
39¢ last
BidAsk
YES36¢39¢
NO61¢64¢
$3,566 volume
Cross-venue spread 0.0¢
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Ninjas in Pyjamas wins the LPL 2026: Weibo Gaming vs. Ninjas in Pyjamas League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 at 3:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the LoL match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and Weibo Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for July 30 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win the match against Weibo Gaming. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against Ninjas in Pyjamas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread0.0¢
Kalshi last39¢
Polymarket last39¢
Model fair value38¢
Model confidence34%
Venues2
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