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LoL: RED Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

KalshiPolymarket Closes Jul 30, 2026
MarketMaster fair value89¢ vs live 88¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.6% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
12¢ last
BidAsk
YES12¢13¢
NO87¢88¢
$1,004 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
10¢ last
BidAsk
YES10¢11¢
NO89¢90¢
$6,737 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If RED Academy wins the Circuito Desafiante 2026: Estral Esports vs. RED Academy League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jul 29, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the LoL match between RED Academy and Estral Esports in the Circuito Desafiante Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 29 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "RED Academy" if RED Academy win the match against Estral Esports. This market will resolve to "Estral Esports" if Estral Esports win the match against RED Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last12¢
Polymarket last10¢
Model fair value11¢
Model confidence37%
Venues2
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