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Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?

Post
Polymarket Closes Sep 30, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO
PolymarketTrade ↗
13¢ last
BidAsk
YES22¢
NO78¢96¢
$112,956 volume
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread
Kalshi last
Polymarket last13¢
Venues2
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