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Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group B

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Aug 3, 2026
MarketMaster fair value64¢ vs live 63¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.3% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
78¢ last
BidAsk
YES78¢79¢
NO21¢22¢
$12,512 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
65¢ last
BidAsk
YES62¢65¢
NO35¢38¢
$11,980 volume
Cross-venue spread 13.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 87¢ per $1 payout, locking +13.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Leo Team wins the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 2026: Inner Circle Academy vs. Leo Team CS2 match originally scheduled for Aug 3, 2026 at 9:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between Leo Team and Inner Circle Academy in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group B, initially scheduled for August 3 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Leo Team" if Leo Team win the match against Inner Circle Academy. This market will resolve to "Inner Circle Academy" if Inner Circle Academy win the match against Leo Team. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread13.0¢
Kalshi last78¢
Polymarket last65¢
Model fair value64¢
Model confidence41%
Venues2
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