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LoL: RMD Gaming vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 4, 2026
MarketMaster fair value33¢ vs live 31¢ on Kalshi
▲ +2.3% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
31¢ last
BidAsk
YES30¢32¢
NO68¢70¢
$178 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
34¢ last
BidAsk
YES33¢34¢
NO66¢67¢
$4,433 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If RMD Gaming wins the Circuito Desafiante 2026: Ei Nerd Esports vs. RMD Gaming League of Legends match originally scheduled for Aug 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the LoL match between RMD Gaming and Ei Nerd Esports in the Circuito Desafiante Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 3 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "RMD Gaming" if RMD Gaming win the match against Ei Nerd Esports. This market will resolve to "Ei Nerd Esports" if Ei Nerd Esports win the match against RMD Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last31¢
Polymarket last34¢
Model fair value33¢
Model confidence34%
Venues2
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