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Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs

KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 1, 2026
MarketMaster fair value61¢ vs live 60¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.0% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
41¢ last
BidAsk
YES40¢41¢
NO59¢60¢
$88 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
39¢ last
BidAsk
YES38¢39¢
NO61¢62¢
$8,495 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If largadosypelados wins the StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier 2026: BESTIA vs. largadosypelados CS2 match originally scheduled for Jul 31, 2026 at 4:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between largadosypelados and BESTIA in the StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 31 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "largadosypelados" if largadosypelados win the match against BESTIA. This market will resolve to "BESTIA" if BESTIA win the match against largadosypelados. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last41¢
Polymarket last39¢
Model fair value39¢
Model confidence38%
Venues2
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