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Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 1, 2026
MarketMaster fair value19¢ vs live 18¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.3% edge · Buy YES
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LIVE PRICES — YES
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20¢ last
BidAsk
YES19¢20¢
NO80¢81¢
$28,982 volume
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Valorant match between Evil Geniuses and MIBR in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 31 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Evil Geniuses" if Evil Geniuses win the match against MIBR. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win the match against Evil Geniuses. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread
Kalshi last
Polymarket last20¢
Model fair value19¢
Model confidence43%
Venues2
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