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Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

KalshiPolymarket Closes Jul 31, 2026
MarketMaster fair value52¢ vs live 51¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.4% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
51¢ last
BidAsk
YES50¢51¢
NO49¢50¢
$5,581 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
51¢ last
BidAsk
YES48¢50¢
NO50¢52¢
$15,720 volume
Cross-venue spread 0.0¢
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Xtreme Gaming wins Games of the Future 2026: LGD Gaming vs. Xtreme Gaming Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Jul 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Xtreme Gaming and LGD Gaming in the Games of the Future Group D, initially scheduled for July 31 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win the match against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Xtreme Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread0.0¢
Kalshi last51¢
Polymarket last51¢
Model fair value52¢
Model confidence46%
Venues2
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