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Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs SINQU (BO1) - Elisa BreakOut Series #1 Group A

KalshiPolymarket Closes Jul 30, 2026
MarketMaster fair value86¢ vs live 65¢ on Kalshi
▲ +21.1% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
72¢ last
BidAsk
YES71¢
NO29¢100¢
$1,698 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO100¢
$34,893 volume
Cross-venue spread 71.9¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If KUUSAMO.gg wins the Elisa BreakOut Series #1 2026: SINQU vs. KUUSAMO.gg CS2 match originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between KUUSAMO.gg and SINQU in the Elisa BreakOut Series #1 Group A, initially scheduled for July 30 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "KUUSAMO.gg" if KUUSAMO.gg win the match against SINQU. This market will resolve to "SINQU" if SINQU win the match against KUUSAMO.gg. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread71.9¢
Kalshi last72¢
Polymarket last
Model fair value14¢
Model confidence34%
Venues2
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