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333: Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili — Merab Dvalishvili

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 24, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
40¢ last
BidAsk
YES39¢40¢
NO60¢61¢
$5,263 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
38¢ last
BidAsk
YES37¢38¢
NO62¢63¢
$12,524 volume
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Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Merab Dvalishvili wins the Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Merab Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the fight against Petr Yan at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Petr Yan" if Petr Yan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last40¢
Polymarket last38¢
Venues2
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