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Central Arkansas vs. Tarleton State

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 18, 2026
MarketMaster fair value63¢ vs live 56¢ on Polymarket
7.4% against the midpoint, -14.6% against the 78¢ ask you would actually pay, -15.1% after the 0.51¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
40¢ last
BidAsk
YES22¢35¢
NO65¢78¢
$847 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
44¢ last
BidAsk
YES22¢38¢
NO62¢78¢
$2,881 volume
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Cross-venue spread 4.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Central Arkansas wins the Central Arkansas vs Tarleton St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming college football game between Central Arkansas and Tarleton State, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Central Arkansas" if Central Arkansas win the game. This market will resolve to "Tarleton State" if Tarleton State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread4.0¢
Kalshi last40¢
Polymarket last44¢
Model fair value63¢
Model confidence32%
Venues2
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