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Seattle vs Denver: Total Points — Over 42.5 points

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 16, 2026
MarketMaster fair value54¢ vs live 52¢ on Polymarket
1.8% against the midpoint, -3.2% against the 57¢ ask you would actually pay, -4.0% after the 0.74¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
45¢ last
BidAsk
YES44¢45¢
NO55¢56¢
$7,582 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
48¢ last
BidAsk
YES43¢44¢
NO56¢57¢
$4,179 volume
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Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Seattle and Denver collectively score more than 42.5 points in the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 15 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Seahawks and Broncos combine to score 43 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 43, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last45¢
Polymarket last48¢
Model fair value54¢
Model confidence36%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.