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Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Jan 1, 2027
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
16¢ last
BidAsk
YES16¢18¢
NO82¢84¢
$95,564 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO97¢97¢
$184,950 volume
Cross-venue spread 13.5¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 87¢ per $1 payout, locking +12.6¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet (including phone calls) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread13.5¢
Kalshi last16¢
Polymarket last
Venues2
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