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Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Dec 31, 2028
MarketMaster fair value96¢ vs live 89¢ on Kalshi
▲ +8.0% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
11¢ last
BidAsk
YES15¢
NO85¢92¢
$10,246 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO99¢100¢
$65,900 volume
Cross-venue spread 10.2¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 93¢ per $1 payout, locking +6.7¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If the next Putin and Zelenskyy meeting happens in Hungary before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread10.2¢
Kalshi last11¢
Polymarket last
Model fair value
Model confidence32%
Venues2
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