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Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?

Post ☰ See all 3 outcomes in Next Chancellor Of Germany Before 2028 Before 2028 →
Polymarket Closes Jan 1, 2030
LIVE PRICES — YES
PolymarketTrade ↗
43¢ last
BidAsk
YES43¢45¢
NO55¢57¢
$26,513 volume
Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025. This market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Chancellor before 2028”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread
Kalshi last
Polymarket last43¢
Venues2
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