Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?

Name: Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? — daily price history on Kalshi and Polymarket
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Post ☰ See all 4 outcomes in Who Wins The Senate Pending Hormuz Agreement And Oil Below →

Polymarket Closes Nov 4, 2026

LIVE PRICES — YES

PolymarketTrade ↗

61¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	60¢	61¢
NO	39¢	40¢

$33,629 volume

Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.

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See all 4 outcomesWho Wins The Senate Pending Hormuz Agreement And Oil Below Where else do the venues disagree?Live cross-venue gaps across every market Open in the analyzerPrice history, alerts and your watchlist

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY

HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

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STATS

Cross-venue spread—

Kalshi last—

Polymarket last61¢

Venues2

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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.