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Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

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Polymarket Closes Aug 15, 2026
This market group is no longer actively tracked — final data shown. See live edges →
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO
PolymarketTrade ↗
98¢ last
BidAsk
YES98¢99¢
NO
$187,483 volume
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify. This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread
Kalshi last
Polymarket last98¢
Venues2
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