Skip to content
Scanner / All markets / Science

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Meta by December 31?

Post ☰ See all 10 outcomes in Who Will The Openai Spy Be Accused Of Working For In 2026 →
Polymarket Closes Jan 1, 2027
LIVE PRICES — YES
PolymarketTrade ↗
6¢ last
BidAsk
YES5¢6¢
NO94¢95¢
$12,867 volume
Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

On October 13, 2026, the U.S. Department of Justice announced that Abdulrahman Alfozan, an OpenAI employee and Saudi national, had been arrested and charged after allegedly installing a covert audio recording device in an executive conference room at OpenAI's San Francisco offices (see: https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/saudi-national-arrested-installing-surreptitious-audio-recording-device-openai). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. federal government or OpenAI publicly alleges that Abdulrahman Alfozan acted on behalf of the listed entity in connection with this incident between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For listed countries, the alleged conduct must be attributed to the government of the listed country, its intelligence or security services, or a state-affiliated entity of the listed country. Alfozan's nationality alone will not qualify. For listed companies or individuals, the alleged conduct must be attributed to the listed company, its subsidiaries, or the listed individual. A qualifying allegation must definitively state that Alfozan acted on behalf of, or under the direction, control, or sponsorship of, the listed entity. Statements that merely speculate about or suggest possible ties, or that describe only contact, cooperation, or association with the listed entity, will not qualify. Qualifying allegations include charging documents, court filings, and on-the-record statements by the U.S. Department of Justice, the FBI, or other U.S. federal agencies or their authorized representatives acting in an official capacity, as well as official statements by OpenAI. Once a qualifying allegation has been made, no subsequent retraction will be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government and OpenAI.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread—
Kalshi last—
Polymarket last6¢
Venues2
TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card
ELSEWHERE
RELATED MARKETS
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Anthropic by December 31?5¢Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.