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Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?

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Polymarket Closes Jan 1, 2027
LIVE PRICES — YES
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99¢ last
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YES99¢99¢
NO1¢1¢
$13,022 volume
Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
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Polymarket last99¢
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.