Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?

Kalshi — primary rule

If the Bank of Russia takes the action of cut 1-25bps at the October Board of Directors’ key rate meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.