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Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?

Post
Polymarket Closes Jan 1, 2027
LIVE PRICES — YES
PolymarketTrade ↗
13¢ last
BidAsk
YES12¢13¢
NO87¢88¢
$29,336 volume
Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread—
Kalshi last—
Polymarket last13¢
Venues2
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