Skip to content
Scanner / All markets / Politics

Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?

Post
Polymarket Closes Oct 4, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
PolymarketTrade ↗
61¢ last
BidAsk
YES55¢58¢
NO42¢45¢
$85,261 volume
Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread—
Kalshi last—
Polymarket last61¢
Venues2
TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card
ELSEWHERE
RELATED MARKETS
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?40¢Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?
The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.