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Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?

KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 8, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO97¢98¢
$4,228 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO100¢
$4,154 volume
Cross-venue spread 1.9¢
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Aug 2, 2026 to Aug 8, 2026 is below 80, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 28, 12:00 PM ET and August 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread1.9¢
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Polymarket last
Venues2
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