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Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Oct 24, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
5¢ last
BidAsk
YES5¢6¢
NO94¢95¢
$150 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
20¢ last
BidAsk
YES18¢20¢
NO80¢82¢
$1,957 volume
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Cross-venue spread 15.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 88¢ per $1 payout, locking +12.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Oct 18, 2026 to Oct 24, 2026 is above 240, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between October 20, 12:00 PM ET and October 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread15.0¢
Kalshi last5¢
Polymarket last20¢
Venues2
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