Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 97¢ per $1 payout, locking +3.0¢ per contract before fees.
If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Oct 11, 2026 to Oct 17, 2026 is below 80, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between October 13, 12:00 PM ET and October 20, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
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