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Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

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Polymarket Closes Nov 3, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
PolymarketTrade ↗
23¢ last
BidAsk
YES24¢25¢
NO75¢76¢
$177,438 volume
Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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Cross-venue spread
Kalshi last
Polymarket last23¢
Venues2
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