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Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-07-29?

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Aug 1, 2026
This market group is no longer actively tracked — final data shown. See live edges →
MarketMaster fair value50¢ vs live 30¢ on Kalshi
▲ +20.8% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
28¢ last
BidAsk
YES28¢31¢
NO69¢72¢
$132 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
62¢ last
BidAsk
YES61¢62¢
NO38¢39¢
$9,073 volume
Cross-venue spread 34.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 70¢ per $1 payout, locking +30.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Vasco da Gama wins the Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense professional Copa do Brasil soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 29, 2026 If CR Vasco da Gama wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread34.0¢
Kalshi last28¢
Polymarket last62¢
Model fair value50¢
Model confidence31%
Venues2
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