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Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs

KalshiPolymarket Closes Jul 30, 2026
MarketMaster fair value33¢ vs live 31¢ on Polymarket
▲ +2.0% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
63¢ last
BidAsk
YES67¢68¢
NO32¢33¢
$6,582 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
68¢ last
BidAsk
YES67¢68¢
NO32¢33¢
$8,638 volume
Cross-venue spread 5.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Fluxo W7M wins the StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier 2026: Bounty Hunters Esports vs. Fluxo W7M CS2 match originally scheduled for Jul 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 1 match between Fluxo W7M and Bounty Hunters Esports in the StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 29 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M win the match against Bounty Hunters Esports. This market will resolve to "Bounty Hunters Esports" if Bounty Hunters Esports win the match against Fluxo W7M. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread5.0¢
Kalshi last63¢
Polymarket last68¢
Model fair value67¢
Model confidence39%
Venues2
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