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Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-07-22?

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Jul 26, 2026
MarketMaster fair value48¢ vs live 47¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.1% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
56¢ last
BidAsk
YES50¢55¢
NO45¢50¢
$4 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
51¢ last
BidAsk
YES51¢52¢
NO48¢49¢
$11,800 volume
Cross-venue spread 5.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Columbus wins the Columbus vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 22, 2026 If Columbus Crew wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread5.0¢
Kalshi last56¢
Polymarket last51¢
Model fair value52¢
Model confidence39%
Venues2
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