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Valorant: Nova Esports GC vs Havoc & Yonder GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers China Qualifier Playoffs

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 16, 2026
MarketMaster fair value86¢ vs live 85¢ on Kalshi
1.0% against the midpoint, -1.0% against the 87¢ ask you would actually pay, -1.8% after the 0.79¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
89¢ last
BidAsk
YES84¢87¢
NO13¢16¢
$377 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
87¢ last
BidAsk
YES84¢88¢
NO12¢16¢
$1,476 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Nova Esports GC wins the VCT Game Changers China Qualifier 2026: Havoc & Yonder GC vs. Nova Esports GC Valorant match originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Valorant Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between Nova Esports GC and Havoc & Yonder GC in the VCT Game Changers China Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nova Esports GC" if Nova Esports GC win the match against Havoc & Yonder GC. This market will resolve to "Havoc & Yonder GC" if Havoc & Yonder GC win the match against Nova Esports GC. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last89¢
Polymarket last87¢
Model fair value86¢
Model confidence14%
Venues2
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