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Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 49.5

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Sep 20, 2026
MarketMaster fair value47¢ vs live 45¢ on Kalshi
2.8% against the midpoint, 2.3% against the 45¢ ask you would actually pay, +0.6% after the 1.73¢ taker fee.
▲ +0.6% after fees · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
44¢ last
BidAsk
YES44¢45¢
NO55¢56¢
$10,079 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
50¢ last
BidAsk
YES44¢45¢
NO55¢56¢
$5,574 volume
Cross-venue spread 6.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Minnesota and Chicago collectively score more than 49.5 points in the Minnesota vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Vikings and Bears combine to score 50 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 50, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread6.0¢
Kalshi last44¢
Polymarket last50¢
Model fair value47¢
Model confidence31%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.