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Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs Contra (BO3) - VCL Americas: Last Chance Qualifier Group Stage

KalshiPolymarket Closes Jul 29, 2026
MarketMaster fair value74¢ vs live 73¢ on Polymarket
▲ +1.0% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
76¢ last
BidAsk
YES75¢76¢
NO24¢25¢
$8,599 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
73¢ last
BidAsk
YES73¢74¢
NO26¢27¢
$10,241 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If 2GAME Esports wins the VCL Americas: Last Chance Qualifier 2026: Contra vs. 2GAME Esports Valorant match originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 9:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Valorant match between 2GAME Esports and Contra in the VCL Americas: Last Chance Qualifier Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 28 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "2GAME Esports" if 2GAME Esports win the match against Contra. This market will resolve to "Contra" if Contra win the match against 2GAME Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last76¢
Polymarket last73¢
Model fair value74¢
Model confidence41%
Venues2
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