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UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando (Welterweight, Prelims)

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 1, 2026
MarketMaster fair value38¢ vs live 37¢ on Kalshi
1.4% against the midpoint, 0.8% against the 37¢ ask you would actually pay, -0.8% after the 1.63¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
38¢ last
BidAsk
YES37¢38¢
NO62¢63¢
$3,018 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
39¢ last
BidAsk
YES38¢39¢
NO61¢62¢
$1,799 volume
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Cross-venue spread 1.0¢
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Theodor Berggren wins the Rodrigo Sezinando vs Theodor Berggren professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Theodor Berggren" if Theodor Berggren is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rodrigo Sezinando at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Rodrigo Sezinando" if Rodrigo Sezinando is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread1.0¢
Kalshi last38¢
Polymarket last39¢
Model fair value38¢
Model confidence31%
Venues2
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