UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card)

Name: UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card) — daily price history on Kalshi and Polymarket
Creator: MarketMaster
License: https://marketmaster.live/terms

Post

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 27, 2026

LIVE PRICES — YES

KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗

45¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	45¢	47¢
NO	53¢	55¢

$424 volume

PolymarketTrade ↗

50¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	49¢	50¢
NO	50¢	51¢

$965 volume

Cross-venue spread 5.0¢· active arbitrage window

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CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 98¢ per $1 payout, locking +2.0¢ per contract before fees.

Stake $

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY

HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Elves Brener wins the Harrell vs Brener professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Elves Brener" if Elves Brener is officially declared the winner of the fight against Josiah Harrell at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26, 2026. It will resolve to "Josiah Harrell" if Josiah Harrell is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 10, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

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STATS

Cross-venue spread5.0¢

Kalshi last45¢

Polymarket last50¢

Venues2

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