UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

Name: UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) — daily price history on Kalshi and Polymarket
Creator: MarketMaster
License: https://marketmaster.live/terms

Post

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 24, 2026

MarketMaster fair value20¢ vs live 19¢ on Kalshi

1.4% against the midpoint, 0.9% against the 19¢ ask you would actually pay, -0.2% after the 1.08¢ taker fee.

No edge after fees

Trade on Kalshi ↗

LIVE PRICES — YES

KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗

19¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	18¢	19¢
NO	81¢	82¢

$11,444 volume

PolymarketTrade ↗

21¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	20¢	21¢
NO	79¢	80¢

$5,048 volume

New to Kalshi? Sign up with our referral link for a new-account bonus. We may earn a referral reward; it doesn't change the prices shown here.

Cross-venue spread 2.0¢

Track this market on MarketMaster →

Where else do the venues disagree?Live cross-venue gaps across every market Open in the analyzerPrice history, alerts and your watchlist

CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

Stake $

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY

HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Nikita Krylov wins the Nikita Krylov vs Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Nikita Krylov" if Nikita Krylov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev" if Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Show full rules

STATS

Cross-venue spread2.0¢

Kalshi last19¢

Polymarket last21¢

Model fair value20¢

Model confidence36%

Venues2

TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card

ELSEWHERE

All UFC markets on both venues · What a cross-venue gap is actually worth · How accurate are these prices?