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UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 4, 2026
MarketMaster fair value54¢ vs live 49¢ on Polymarket
4.5% against the midpoint, -5.5% against the 59¢ ask you would actually pay, -6.7% after the 1.21¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
47¢ last
BidAsk
YES36¢47¢
NO53¢64¢
$2,306 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
51¢ last
BidAsk
YES41¢51¢
NO49¢59¢
$939 volume
Cross-venue spread 4.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Johnny Walker wins the Walker vs Parkin professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Johnny Walker" if Johnny Walker is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mick Parkin at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Mick Parkin" if Mick Parkin is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread4.0¢
Kalshi last47¢
Polymarket last51¢
Model fair value54¢
Model confidence30%
Venues2
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