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St. Louis vs New York Y: Total Runs — Over 8.5 runs scored

KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 4, 2026
MarketMaster fair value55¢ vs live 53¢ on Polymarket
▲ +2.0% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
43¢ last
BidAsk
YES43¢44¢
NO56¢57¢
$14,044 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
47¢ last
BidAsk
YES43¢44¢
NO56¢57¢
$2,835 volume
Cross-venue spread 4.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If St. Louis and New York Y collectively score more 8.5 runs in the St. Louis vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 3, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 3 at 7:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the St. Louis Cardinals and New York Yankees combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread4.0¢
Kalshi last43¢
Polymarket last47¢
Model fair value45¢
Model confidence38%
Venues2
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