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Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 9, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
11¢ last
BidAsk
YES10¢12¢
NO88¢90¢
$48 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
27¢ last
BidAsk
YES26¢27¢
NO73¢74¢
$35,695 volume
Cross-venue spread 16.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 86¢ per $1 payout, locking +14.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If TB Buccaneers wins by more than 3.5 points in the TB Buccaneers vs DAL Cowboys Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL football game between Packers and Buccaneers, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Buccaneers" if the Buccaneers win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Packers". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread16.0¢
Kalshi last11¢
Polymarket last27¢
Venues2
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