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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 8, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
37¢ last
BidAsk
YES34¢35¢
NO65¢66¢
$1 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
36¢ last
BidAsk
YES35¢36¢
NO64¢65¢
$1,095 volume
Cross-venue spread 1.0¢
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Bernard Tomic wins the Tomic vs Arnaldi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Bernard Tomic and Matteo Arnaldi in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bernard Tomic' if Bernard Tomic advances against Matteo Arnaldi. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Bernard Tomic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread1.0¢
Kalshi last37¢
Polymarket last36¢
Venues2
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