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SEA Seahawks vs WAS Commanders: Total Points — Over 40.5 points scored

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 27, 2026
MarketMaster fair value51¢ vs live 50¢ on Polymarket
1.3% against the midpoint, -0.7% against the 52¢ ask you would actually pay, fee unknown for this series.
No edge at the ask
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
48¢ last
BidAsk
YES47¢48¢
NO52¢53¢
$348,236 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
50¢ last
BidAsk
YES48¢49¢
NO51¢52¢
$59,222 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If SEA Seahawks and WAS Commanders collectively score more than 40.5 points in the SEA Seahawks vs WAS Commanders Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Seahawks and Commanders combine to score 41 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 41, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last48¢
Polymarket last50¢
Model fair value51¢
Model confidence51%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.