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Seattle vs Washington — Seattle

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Sep 27, 2026
MarketMaster fair value28¢ vs live 27¢ on Polymarket
1.1% against the midpoint, -0.9% against the 29¢ ask you would actually pay, -1.9% after the 1.03¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
72¢ last
BidAsk
YES70¢72¢
NO28¢30¢
$58,704 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
73¢ last
BidAsk
YES71¢73¢
NO27¢29¢
$6,545 volume
Cross-venue spread 1.0¢
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Seattle wins the Seattle vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00PM ET: If Seahawks wins, the market will resolve to "Seahawks". If Commanders wins, the market will resolve to "Commanders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread1.0¢
Kalshi last72¢
Polymarket last73¢
Model fair value28¢
Model confidence37%
Venues2
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