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Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?

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Polymarket Closes Oct 1, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
PolymarketTrade ↗
64¢ last
BidAsk
YES62¢63¢
NO37¢38¢
$13,414 volume
Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies. Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread
Kalshi last
Polymarket last64¢
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.