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San Francisco vs Atlanta — San Francisco

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Oct 25, 2026
MarketMaster fair value34¢ vs live 32¢ on Polymarket
1.6% against the midpoint, -3.4% against the 37¢ ask you would actually pay, -4.1% after the 0.70¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
66¢ last
BidAsk
YES65¢66¢
NO34¢35¢
$82,454 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
68¢ last
BidAsk
YES63¢67¢
NO33¢37¢
$1,156 volume
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Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If San Francisco wins the San Francisco vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL football game between 49ers and Falcons, scheduled for October 25 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "49ers" if 49ers win the game. This market will resolve to "Falcons" if Falcons win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last66¢
Polymarket last68¢
Model fair value34¢
Model confidence36%
Venues2
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