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European Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Clement Chidekh

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 20, 2026
MarketMaster fair value59¢ vs live 57¢ on Kalshi
1.3% against the midpoint, 0.8% against the 58¢ ask you would actually pay, -0.9% after the 1.71¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
58¢ last
BidAsk
YES57¢58¢
NO42¢43¢
$9,486 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
60¢ last
BidAsk
YES59¢60¢
NO40¢41¢
$8,573 volume
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Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Botic Van de Zandschulp wins the Van de Zandschulp vs Chidekh professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Brussels Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Botic van de Zandschulp and Clement Chidekh in the European Open, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Botic van de Zandschulp' if Botic van de Zandschulp advances against Clement Chidekh. This market will resolve to 'Clement Chidekh' if Clement Chidekh advances against Botic van de Zandschulp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last58¢
Polymarket last60¢
Model fair value59¢
Model confidence40%
Venues2
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