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San Diego vs Butler — San Diego

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 10, 2026
MarketMaster fair value33¢ vs live 32¢ on Polymarket
1.1% against the midpoint, -0.9% against the 34¢ ask you would actually pay, -1.6% after the 0.67¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
65¢ last
BidAsk
YES65¢67¢
NO33¢35¢
$3,703 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
68¢ last
BidAsk
YES66¢68¢
NO32¢34¢
$910 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If San Diego wins the San Diego vs Butler college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming college football game between San Diego and Butler, scheduled for October 10 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego" if San Diego win the game. This market will resolve to "Butler" if Butler win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last65¢
Polymarket last68¢
Model fair value33¢
Model confidence33%
Venues2
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