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Ravens vs. Falcons

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Oct 12, 2026
MarketMaster fair value33¢ vs live 32¢ on Polymarket
1.3% against the midpoint, -3.7% against the 37¢ ask you would actually pay, -4.4% after the 0.70¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
66¢ last
BidAsk
YES65¢66¢
NO34¢35¢
$18,773 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
68¢ last
BidAsk
YES63¢67¢
NO33¢37¢
$11,442 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Baltimore wins the BAL Ravens vs ATL Falcons Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL football game between Ravens and Falcons, scheduled for October 11 at 8:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ravens" if Ravens win the game. This market will resolve to "Falcons" if Falcons win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last66¢
Polymarket last68¢
Model fair value33¢
Model confidence34%
Venues2
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