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Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 23, 2026
This market group is no longer actively tracked — final data shown. See live edges →
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
31¢ last
BidAsk
YES30¢31¢
NO69¢70¢
$162,160 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
28¢ last
BidAsk
YES27¢28¢
NO72¢73¢
$93,931 volume
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Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 98¢ per $1 payout, locking +2.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Leylah Fernandez wins the Fernandez vs Alexandrova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Ningbo Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Leylah Fernandez and Ekaterina Alexandrova in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leylah Fernandez' if Leylah Fernandez advances against Ekaterina Alexandrova. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Alexandrova' if Ekaterina Alexandrova advances against Leylah Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last31¢
Polymarket last28¢
Venues2
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