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Ningbo Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Daria Snigur

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 20, 2026
MarketMaster fair value25¢ vs live 24¢ on Kalshi
1.2% against the midpoint, 0.2% against the 25¢ ask you would actually pay, -1.1% after the 1.31¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
24¢ last
BidAsk
YES23¢25¢
NO75¢77¢
$1,140 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
26¢ last
BidAsk
YES25¢26¢
NO74¢75¢
$2,777 volume
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Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Katarzyna Kawa wins the Kawa vs Snigur professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Ningbo Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Katarzyna Kawa and Daria Snigur in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katarzyna Kawa' if Katarzyna Kawa advances against Daria Snigur. This market will resolve to 'Daria Snigur' if Daria Snigur advances against Katarzyna Kawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last24¢
Polymarket last26¢
Model fair value25¢
Model confidence34%
Venues2
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