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New York M vs Milwaukee — New York M

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Jul 22, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
41¢ last
BidAsk
YES41¢42¢
NO58¢59¢
$12,895 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
100¢ last
BidAsk
YES99¢100¢
NO
$251,633 volume
Cross-venue spread 58.6¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 43¢ per $1 payout, locking +57.4¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If New York M wins the New York M vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for July 21 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread58.6¢
Kalshi last41¢
Polymarket last100¢
Venues2
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